When does moss phlox bloom in Virginia?

Most often in April. Across 228 dated, research-grade observations of Phlox subulata in Virginia, the flowering season runs roughly March to May.

Peak April In flower 228 Examined 253 State Virginia

Flowering 228 in flower of 253 examined

Proportion of examined Phlox subulata in Virginia in flower, by month
Month In flower Examined Share 95% interval
Jan 1 2 too few examined
Feb 1 1 too few examined
Mar 27 28 96% 82% to 99%
Apr 152 154 99% 95% to 100%
May 39 42 93% 81% to 98%
Jun 1 2 too few examined
Jul 0 2 too few examined
Aug 1 8 13% 2% to 47%
Sep 2 6 33% 10% to 70%
Oct 1 3 too few examined
Nov 3 5 60% 23% to 88%
Dec 0 0 too few examined

Peak flowering in Apr. Each bar is the share of Phlox subulata in Virginia observations in which someone actually recorded the reproductive state and found the plant in flower, not the raw number of flowering records. That distinction matters: people observe plants far more in spring than in winter, so a bare count of flowering records partly measures when people go outside. Dividing by the number examined removes that. 228 of 253 examined observations were in flower, every one of them research grade. The whisker on each bar is a 95% Wilson interval. 6 months have fewer than 5 examined observations, so no proportion is drawn for them. This is still a global aggregate and not a forecast for your garden: the same species flowers on different dates in different hemispheres. Where a species has fewer than 30 flowering records we do not draw this chart at all. Computed from 10.15468/dl.wt38fd.

What this is, and what it is not

This is a record of when people in Virginia found Phlox subulata in flower, not a forecast. It is computed only from observations made in Virginia, so it is not the species’ global average dragged onto a map: the same plant flowers on different dates in different places, and that is the entire point of the page.

It will not tell you what your particular plant will do this year. Bloom time moves with the season, with altitude, and with the weather, and a warm February pulls everything forward. We publish the distribution and the sample size, and we refuse to draw a month that too few people examined.

The plant

Sourcesevery claim on this page

  1. GBIF (iNaturalist Research-grade Observations). Dated flowering annotations in Virginia. Every record achieved iNaturalist quality grade Research, which is applied upstream at export. 10.15468/dl.wt38fd. Retrieved 2026-07-14.
  2. World Flora Online Plant List. The accepted name. CC0. Retrieved 2026-07-12.