When does Texas bluebonnet bloom in Texas?

Most often in September. Across 5,396 dated, research-grade observations of Lupinus texensis in Texas, the flowering season runs roughly March to September.

Peak September In flower 5,396 Examined 5,683 State Texas

Flowering 5,396 in flower of 5,683 examined

Proportion of examined Lupinus texensis in Texas in flower, by month
Month In flower Examined Share 95% interval
Jan 12 40 30% 18% to 45%
Feb 170 241 71% 65% to 76%
Mar 2763 2851 97% 96% to 97%
Apr 2014 2055 98% 97% to 99%
May 283 300 94% 91% to 96%
Jun 97 98 99% 94% to 100%
Jul 21 23 91% 73% to 98%
Aug 6 8 75% 41% to 93%
Sep 5 5 100% 57% to 100%
Oct 7 11 64% 35% to 85%
Nov 10 23 43% 26% to 63%
Dec 8 28 29% 15% to 47%

Peak flowering in Sep. Each bar is the share of Lupinus texensis in Texas observations in which someone actually recorded the reproductive state and found the plant in flower, not the raw number of flowering records. That distinction matters: people observe plants far more in spring than in winter, so a bare count of flowering records partly measures when people go outside. Dividing by the number examined removes that. 5,396 of 5,683 examined observations were in flower, every one of them research grade. The whisker on each bar is a 95% Wilson interval. This is still a global aggregate and not a forecast for your garden: the same species flowers on different dates in different hemispheres. Where a species has fewer than 30 flowering records we do not draw this chart at all. Computed from 10.15468/dl.wt38fd.

What this is, and what it is not

This is a record of when people in Texas found Lupinus texensis in flower, not a forecast. It is computed only from observations made in Texas, so it is not the species’ global average dragged onto a map: the same plant flowers on different dates in different places, and that is the entire point of the page.

It will not tell you what your particular plant will do this year. Bloom time moves with the season, with altitude, and with the weather, and a warm February pulls everything forward. We publish the distribution and the sample size, and we refuse to draw a month that too few people examined.

The plant

Sourcesevery claim on this page

  1. GBIF (iNaturalist Research-grade Observations). Dated flowering annotations in Texas. Every record achieved iNaturalist quality grade Research, which is applied upstream at export. 10.15468/dl.wt38fd. Retrieved 2026-07-14.
  2. World Flora Online Plant List. The accepted name. CC0. Retrieved 2026-07-12.