When does Desert Marigold bloom in Arizona?

Most often in January. Across 205 dated, research-grade observations of Baileya multiradiata in Arizona, the flowering season runs roughly January to December.

Peak January In flower 205 Examined 215 State Arizona

Flowering 205 in flower of 215 examined

Proportion of examined Baileya multiradiata in Arizona in flower, by month
Month In flower Examined Share 95% interval
Jan 11 11 100% 74% to 100%
Feb 7 8 88% 53% to 98%
Mar 40 43 93% 81% to 98%
Apr 56 57 98% 91% to 100%
May 26 27 96% 82% to 99%
Jun 6 6 100% 61% to 100%
Jul 4 4 too few examined
Aug 5 7 71% 36% to 92%
Sep 12 12 100% 76% to 100%
Oct 8 10 80% 49% to 94%
Nov 13 13 100% 77% to 100%
Dec 17 17 100% 82% to 100%

Peak flowering in Jan. Each bar is the share of Baileya multiradiata in Arizona observations in which someone actually recorded the reproductive state and found the plant in flower, not the raw number of flowering records. That distinction matters: people observe plants far more in spring than in winter, so a bare count of flowering records partly measures when people go outside. Dividing by the number examined removes that. 205 of 215 examined observations were in flower, every one of them research grade. The whisker on each bar is a 95% Wilson interval. One month has fewer than 5 examined observations, so no proportion is drawn for it. This is still a global aggregate and not a forecast for your garden: the same species flowers on different dates in different hemispheres. Where a species has fewer than 30 flowering records we do not draw this chart at all. Computed from 10.15468/dl.wt38fd.

What this is, and what it is not

This is a record of when people in Arizona found Baileya multiradiata in flower, not a forecast. It is computed only from observations made in Arizona, so it is not the species’ global average dragged onto a map: the same plant flowers on different dates in different places, and that is the entire point of the page.

It will not tell you what your particular plant will do this year. Bloom time moves with the season, with altitude, and with the weather, and a warm February pulls everything forward. We publish the distribution and the sample size, and we refuse to draw a month that too few people examined.

The plant

Sourcesevery claim on this page

  1. GBIF (iNaturalist Research-grade Observations). Dated flowering annotations in Arizona. Every record achieved iNaturalist quality grade Research, which is applied upstream at export. 10.15468/dl.wt38fd. Retrieved 2026-07-14.
  2. World Flora Online Plant List. The accepted name. CC0. Retrieved 2026-07-12.